Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001067 0.001214 0.001363 0.001523 0.001691 0.001862 0.002046
2025-08-10 0.000785 0.000989 0.001204 0.001443 0.001700 0.001966 0.002261
2025-08-17 0.000596 0.000840 0.001105 0.001410 0.001746 0.002100 0.002499
2025-08-24 0.000412 0.000673 0.000972 0.001326 0.001726 0.002156 0.002647
2025-08-31 0.000302 0.000577 0.000907 0.001310 0.001775 0.002282 0.002867
2025-09-07 0.000228 0.000514 0.000875 0.001327 0.001855 0.002439 0.003118
2025-09-14 0.000147 0.000427 0.000804 0.001291 0.001872 0.002521 0.003283
2025-09-21 0.000105 0.000386 0.000786 0.001315 0.001955 0.002676 0.003527
2025-09-28 0.000082 0.000371 0.000798 0.001375 0.002078 0.002875 0.003819
2025-10-05 0.000048 0.000325 0.000766 0.001375 0.002128 0.002988 0.004014
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000295 0.000753 0.001398 0.002204 0.003130 0.004239
2025-10-19 0.000010 0.000258 0.000725 0.001400 0.002252 0.003238 0.004424
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000202 0.000674 0.001387 0.002304 0.003376 0.004673
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000126 0.000578 0.001309 0.002274 0.003419 0.004816
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000080 0.000520 0.001277 0.002301 0.003528 0.005036
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000032 0.000433 0.001197 0.002261 0.003556 0.005161
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000013 0.000393 0.001182 0.002304 0.003681 0.005398
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000004 0.000374 0.001197 0.002385 0.003853 0.005689
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001163 0.002399 0.003940 0.005879
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000316 0.001186 0.002488 0.004119 0.006177
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000325 0.001243 0.002623 0.004354 0.006540
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000303 0.001243 0.002679 0.004490 0.006786
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001265 0.002764 0.004663 0.007073